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garden-plan/planting-schedule-validation.md
2026-01-27 10:05:53 +01:00

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Planting Schedule Validation for 2026-2027

Climate Alignment Check

This document validates that all planting dates in garden-plan-2026.csv align with Western Zealand climate data from climate-data-western-zealand.md.

Climate Parameters (Reference)

  • Last Spring Frost: April 20
  • First Fall Frost: October 10
  • Frost-Free Days: 173 days
  • USDA Zone: 8a-8b
  • Safe Greenhouse Start: Mid-March onward

Validation Results ✓

Early Spring (March-April)

Date Activity Crop Climate Check Status
2026-03-23 Greenhouse Sow Tomato After mid-March safe start ✓ SAFE
2026-03-23 Greenhouse Sow Basil After mid-March safe start ✓ SAFE
2026-04-13 Direct Sow Radicchio Cold-hardy, before last frost OK ✓ SAFE
2026-04-13 Direct Sow Spinach Cold-hardy, before last frost OK ✓ SAFE
2026-04-13 Direct Sow Peas Cold-hardy, before last frost OK ✓ SAFE
2026-04-13 Direct Sow Carrots Cold-hardy, before last frost OK ✓ SAFE
2026-04-13 Direct Sow Swiss Chard Cold-hardy, before last frost OK ✓ SAFE
2026-04-13 Transplant Kale Cold-hardy, before last frost OK ✓ SAFE

Analysis: All early spring sowings are appropriately timed. Greenhouse starts at March 23 provide ~6 weeks before transplant. Cold-hardy crops sown April 13 (1 week before last frost) is standard practice.

Late Spring (May)

Date Activity Crop Climate Check Status
2026-05-04 Transplant Tomato 2 weeks after last frost ✓ SAFE
2026-05-04 Transplant Basil 2 weeks after last frost ✓ SAFE
2026-05-04 Direct Plant Cornflower After last frost ✓ SAFE
2026-05-04 Direct Sow Bush Beans After last frost, soil warm ✓ SAFE
2026-05-04 Direct Sow Zucchini After last frost, soil warm ✓ SAFE
2026-05-04 Direct Plant Tansy After last frost ✓ SAFE
2026-05-04 Direct Sow Carrots After last frost ✓ SAFE
2026-05-18 Direct Plant Winter Squash Soil definitely warm ✓ SAFE
2026-05-18 Direct Plant Wild Carrot After last frost ✓ SAFE

Analysis: Perfect timing. May 4 is 2 weeks after last frost (April 20), giving safety margin for late cold snaps. Warm-season crops have warm soil. Second wave on May 18 ensures soil temperature ideal for squash.

Summer (June-August)

Date Activity Crop Climate Check Status
2026-06-08 Direct Sow Bush Beans Mid-season succession ✓ SAFE
2026-06-08 Direct Sow Swiss Chard Mid-season succession ✓ SAFE
2026-07-06 Direct Sow Bush Beans Late succession, 90+ days to frost ✓ SAFE
2026-07-06 Direct Sow Carrots 90+ days to frost ✓ SAFE
2026-07-27 Direct Sow Kale (winter) For fall/winter harvest ✓ SAFE
2026-07-27 Direct Sow Swiss Chard For fall/winter harvest ✓ SAFE

Analysis: Succession plantings properly spaced. July 27 plantings for winter crops give 11 weeks before frost - adequate for kale/chard to establish before cold weather. Bush beans on July 6 have 96 days to October 10 first frost (beans need 50-60 days).

Fall (September-November)

Date Activity Crop Climate Check Status
2026-10-05 Direct Plant Garlic Traditional October planting ✓ SAFE
2026-10-26 Direct Sow Broad Beans Overwinter variety, before hard freeze ✓ SAFE
2026-11-09 Mulch All beds After first frost, before hard freeze ✓ SAFE

Analysis: Excellent timing. Garlic planted early October gets 4-6 weeks to establish roots before hard freeze. Broad beans (Aquadulce Claudia is overwinter variety) planted late October is standard for Zone 8. Mulching November 9 is 1 month after first frost - perfect.

Summer Harvest (2027)

Date Activity Crop Climate Check Status
2027-06-21 Harvest Garlic 8.5 months after planting ✓ OPTIMAL
2027-06-21 Direct Sow Bush Beans Replacing harvested garlic ✓ SAFE

Analysis: Garlic harvest in late June is perfect timing (planted Oct 5, harvested Jun 21 = 259 days). Immediate replanting with beans maximizes bed use and provides late summer harvest.


Summary

Overall Assessment: EXCELLENT

All planting dates align perfectly with Western Zealand climate data:

  1. Frost Safety: All frost-sensitive crops planted after April 20 last frost date
  2. Cold-Hardy Timing: Cold-hardy crops appropriately started in early-mid April
  3. Succession Spacing: Bean and carrot successions well-timed for continuous harvest
  4. Fall Preparation: Winter crops started with adequate time before frost
  5. Overwinter Crops: Garlic and broad beans planted at optimal times for Zone 8
  6. Season Extension: Proper use of greenhouse starting in March

Given the warming trend (warmest March/April in 10+ years), the schedule is:

  • Conservative: Using April 20 last frost maintains safety margin
  • Adaptable: If last frost shifts to April 15, transplants on May 4 still appropriate
  • Flexible: Greenhouse starts in late March allow earlier transplanting if weather permits

Risk Factors: MINIMAL

  • Late frost risk: May 4 transplants have 2-week buffer
  • Early frost risk: Fall crops harvested before October 10 or are frost-tolerant
  • Heat stress risk: Tomatoes may need shade if extreme heat continues (>30°C)
  • Overwintering risk: Broad beans and garlic are appropriate for Zone 8 winters

Recommendations

  1. Monitor: Track actual 2026 last frost date to refine 2027 schedule
  2. Row covers: Keep available for May 1-15 in case of late cold snap
  3. Shade cloth: Consider for tomatoes if July temperatures exceed 32°C
  4. Documentation: Note harvest dates in 2026 to validate timing for 2027

Climate Data Sources

All validations based on:


Validated: January 2026 Next validation: January 2027 (after observing actual 2026 frost dates)